{
  "version": 1,
  "event_id": "evt_99060c00ae9bcffa",
  "url": "https://xiyu.news/events/evt_99060c00ae9bcffa/",
  "json": "https://xiyu.news/api/events/evt_99060c00ae9bcffa.json",
  "type": "regulatory_action",
  "status": "closed",
  "category": "policy",
  "title": {
    "zh": "高盛转向，现预测美联储将在 10 月加息",
    "en": "Bitcoin, ether swing after unanimous quarter-point Fed rate hike as Warsh takes aim at inflation"
  },
  "current_state": {
    "zh": "美联储于9月16日加息25个基点至3.75%-4.00%，主席沃什发表鹰派言论后，高盛预计10月将再次加息，交易员定价超过50%的加息概率。",
    "en": "After the Fed hiked 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% on Sept 16 and Chair Warsh struck a hawkish tone, Goldman Sachs now expects another hike in October, with traders pricing just over 50% chance."
  },
  "first_seen_at": "2026-09-16T23:08:42.154186+00:00",
  "last_updated_at": "2026-09-17T09:34:58.122380+00:00",
  "last_material_change_at": "2026-09-17T09:34:58.122380+00:00",
  "confidence": 0.75,
  "updates_count": 2,
  "sources_count": 2,
  "entities": [
    "fed",
    "goldman",
    "october",
    "warsh"
  ],
  "identifiers": [],
  "topics": [
    "fed",
    "federal-reserve",
    "goldman-sachs",
    "interest-rates",
    "macro",
    "monetary-policy"
  ],
  "updates": [
    {
      "update_id": "upd_bab8306e643d29df",
      "event_id": "evt_99060c00ae9bcffa",
      "occurred_at": "2026-09-16T20:02:16Z",
      "published_at": "2026-09-16T20:02:16Z",
      "first_seen_at": "2026-09-16T23:08:42.154186Z",
      "time_precision": "published",
      "update_type": "initial",
      "material_change": true,
      "title_zh": "美联储一致决定加息25个基点后，比特币和以太币震荡，沃什瞄准通胀",
      "title_en": "Bitcoin, ether swing after unanimous quarter-point Fed rate hike as Warsh takes aim at inflation",
      "what_changed_zh": "美联储实施三年多来首次加息，一致决定加息25个基点，沃什瞄准通胀，比特币和以太币随之剧烈震荡。",
      "what_changed_en": "Bitcoin and ether whipsawed after the Federal Reserve delivered its first rate hike in over three years, a unanimous quarter-point move, as Warsh took aim at inflation.",
      "current_state_zh": "美联储实施三年多来首次加息，一致决定加息25个基点，沃什瞄准通胀，比特币和以太币随之剧烈震荡。",
      "current_state_en": "Bitcoin and ether whipsawed after the Federal Reserve delivered its first rate hike in over three years, a unanimous quarter-point move, as Warsh took aim at inflation.",
      "detailed_summary_zh": "Bitcoin and ether whipsawed after the Federal Reserve delivered its first rate hike in over three years, a unanimous quarter-point move, as Warsh took aim at inflation.",
      "detailed_summary_en": "Bitcoin and ether whipsawed after the Federal Reserve delivered its first rate hike in over three years, a unanimous quarter-point move, as Warsh took aim at inflation.",
      "background_zh": "",
      "background_en": "",
      "community_discussion_zh": "",
      "community_discussion_en": "",
      "market_impact_zh": "",
      "market_impact_en": "",
      "importance_score": 7.5,
      "references": [],
      "confidence": 0.75,
      "story_ids": [
        "rss:www.theblock.co_rss.xml:588af9c1380e2963"
      ],
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.theblock.co/news/markets/2026-09-16-bitcoin-ether-swing-unanimous-quarter-point-fed-rate-hike-warsh-aim-inflation-415307",
          "label": "The Block",
          "source_type": "rss",
          "official": false
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "update_id": "upd_1697e448cc03bec0",
      "event_id": "evt_99060c00ae9bcffa",
      "occurred_at": "2026-09-17T04:17:55Z",
      "published_at": "2026-09-17T04:17:55Z",
      "first_seen_at": "2026-09-17T09:34:58.122380Z",
      "time_precision": "published",
      "update_type": "aftermath",
      "material_change": true,
      "title_zh": "高盛转向，现预测美联储将在 10 月加息",
      "title_en": "Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October",
      "what_changed_zh": "高盛改变预测，现在预计美联储将在10月再次加息，逆转此前预测。",
      "what_changed_en": "Goldman Sachs now expects another Fed rate hike in October, reversing its prior forecast.",
      "current_state_zh": "美联储于9月16日加息25个基点至3.75%-4.00%，主席沃什发表鹰派言论后，高盛预计10月将再次加息，交易员定价超过50%的加息概率。",
      "current_state_en": "After the Fed hiked 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% on Sept 16 and Chair Warsh struck a hawkish tone, Goldman Sachs now expects another hike in October, with traders pricing just over 50% chance.",
      "detailed_summary_zh": "Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again in October, reversing its prior call for a September hike followed by a pause, after the Fed hiked rates to 3.75%-4.00% and Chair Kevin Warsh struck a hawkish tone.",
      "detailed_summary_en": "Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again in October, reversing its prior call for a September hike followed by a pause, after the Fed hiked rates to 3.75%-4.00% and Chair Kevin Warsh struck a hawkish tone.",
      "background_zh": "",
      "background_en": "",
      "community_discussion_zh": "",
      "community_discussion_en": "",
      "market_impact_zh": "",
      "market_impact_en": "",
      "importance_score": 7.5,
      "references": [],
      "confidence": 0.9,
      "story_ids": [
        "rss:www.coindesk.com_arc_outboundfeeds_rss_:5ed6b3d8af08d156"
      ],
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/17/goldman-expects-another-fed-rate-hike-in-october",
          "label": "CoinDesk",
          "source_type": "rss",
          "official": false
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}